The UBPs Immediate Future

I see from this MON article that the UBP is gearing up for a leadership contest by December at the latest. To be honest I am surprised that Mr. Swan has survived as long as he has, and thought he would have to resign in the aftermath of the NewBP’s split from the UBP. The MON article indicates that Mr. Richards, the current shadow Finance Minister, is a likely challenger for the leadership. Personally I feel that the UBP’s best potential leader would be John Barritt. However, with Mr. Barritt’s recent musings on leaving the UBP and running as an independent, as well as the traditional UBP fear of being labeled as the White party may rule him out of the competition.

Mr. Swan’s comments about working in a coalition with the NewBPers is interesting. If anything else this potential could serve as the kiss of death for the NewBP who have still not specified how (if at all) they are different from the UBP. Certainly a NewBP-UBP coalition while in Opposition is exactly the situation we’ve had for the last eighteen months. I am also curious how they will go about contesting elections in this manner. I would assume they are hoping to avoid splitting the vote through contesting the same constituencies. Seeing as the UBP had difficulty in the run-up to the 2007 election finding a full slate of candidates, I am sure the UBP in its current state would relish the opportunity to consolidate its focus on a minority of seats. However such a strategy will also reinforce the idea that the NewBP and UBP are virtually the same. Personally I would suggest that the UBP focus on fourteen seats exclusively, while the NewBP attempt to contest a full complement of seats, perhaps with the exclusion of PLP strongholds. The addition of other political parties contesting elections would of course further change the equation of course.

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10 thoughts on “The UBPs Immediate Future

  1. Other than trying desperately hard to hang on to his salary and the title, I really don’t understand where Swan is coming from.

    Is he so naive as to think he can form a coalition which – presumably – he would lead?

    Amazing.

  2. I dont understand this leadership contest, because the word is that during the last leadership ‘election’ if we can call it that, no one wanted it and Mr. Swan was pretty much the only one willing to take it.

    If Mr. Richards wants it, fine, but I don’t see him having much success. He is not well-liked and I can’t see him drawing support from the areas where the UBP need support.

    I also think this coalition will not work, however if they want to try it then fine. They will find most of their candidates blocked out of parliament because it will show that the NewBP and the UBP are one and the same. The NewBP to have any remote chance needs to present themselves as separate and distinct from the UBP. I doubt they will risk their political lives by working with the remaining UBP.

  3. Trying to merge the two groups would be the death knell for them both. So surely no-one is stupid enough to do it?

    Then again, maybe that death knell is precisely what is needed.

    The real question is would the PLP machine be able to spin a new party that had several members of either of these organisations into just another incarnation of the UBP, to be distrusted for the same reasons. If the answers is, the voting public will never again give any of these men and women a shot at representing them, then we might as well give up now.

    Bermuda is simply not big enough to expect there to be loads of potential leaders sitting out there in the wings. The Barritts, Dunkleys, Burgess, Richards of the world have their faults, but they’re still some of the best politicans Bermuda has produced. To exile them because of a grudge is short sighted of the public.

    And who will step up? Who will watch over Dr. Brown, and keep him in check – as any opposition should do? Certainly not the PLP, they’re too busy trying to work how they wound up so tightly tied around his little finger. The public are apathetic at best, and care more about their next paycheck than voting on issues.

    Scary times ahead. The Westminster system is dead, and we have a leader that flourishes in its demise. Which means no reform, no matter how much good it would do.

  4. LostinFLatts said:
    “Bermuda is simply not big enough to expect there to be loads of potential leaders sitting out there in the wings. The Barritts, Dunkleys, Burgess, Richards of the world have their faults, but they’re still some of the best politicans Bermuda has produced. To exile them because of a grudge is short sighted of the public.”

    This was the point I was trying to make about two weeks ago.
    Then it turned into a discussion about how a college degree doesn’t mean anything because I suggested that our politicians have a college education.
    However, with or without the degree, Bermuda as you said just doesn’t currently have Bermudians sitting around waiting to lead the country to greatness and don’t already belong to a party.

  5. Plp is chasing the portuguese vote the most discriminalize group in the island. The West Indians had a premeir before black bermudians and the portuguese lost their chance with the Ironlady. Any attack by the Plp on a portuguese oppostion leader would lose votes.
    The red party says increase in welfare programs are the only to reduce crime outside of income tax. Crack babies are struggling in hell not living in paradise.

  6. @LostinFlatts

    To exile them because of a grudge is short sighted of the public.

    Well, exactly. Punish those alive today for the sins of the past. Never mind that in the process, you’re shooting a hole in your own foot. I read a great saying about revenge today: ‘If you plan revenge, dig two graves.’

    To quote Mary Renault again: ‘Democracy .. is what it says, the rule of the people. It is as good as the people are, or as bad.’

    If Bermuda wants to know who is the cause of what’s happening now, look in the mirror.

  7. Good quotes Noel. I have read them, ingested them and reflected on them for years.

    Irony is in Bermuda, it’s a “Two Way” mirror. Search Einstiens works.

    I need a rum………

  8. Progressive Labour Party, United Bermuda Party, The NewBP, Bermuda Green Party…

    while I think its a great thing that more people are interested in politics, it is virtually impossible for all 4 of these parties to field 36 candidates each in a general election. And perhaps that isnt the goal…maybe the NewBP and the Green Party just want to put specific candidates in specific areas where the environment may be considered more important.

    it will be interesting to see how these parties develop, what stances they take on what issues, what solutions they have to what are widely considered problems in bermuda, and who takes the reign of the parties.

  9. Politics is an interesting process isn’t it.

    I mean…here we have Red Party saying…”Any attack by the Plp on a portuguese oppostion leader would lose votes”.

    And yet, when you look historically at slavery, for two hundred years, 1440-1640, Portugal had a monopoly on the export of slaves from Africa.

    It is notable that they were also the last European country to abolish the institution – although, like France, it still continued to work former slaves as contract laborers, which they called libertos or engagés à temps. It is estimated that during the 4 1/2 centuries of the trans-Atlantic slave trade, Portugal was responsible for transporting over 4.5 million Africans (roughly 40% of the total).

    I guess that’s politics.

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