Just out of curiosity about the state of Bermuda’s blogosphere I’ve put together a few stats of this blog. I have no idea how they stack up with other Bermudian blogs, but I am curious about how the Bermudian blogosphere is developing. I thought these might at least contribute a little to an understanding of our blogospheres dynamics. I’m pretty sure that the Bermuda Sucks forum remains the most popular site though, and with the dormancy of Politics.bm as well as some others, I get the impression that Vexed is capturing the ‘market share’ that Politics.bm used to have.
These stats are from the very beginning of this blog, in January 2007, and so do not reflect well some of the dynamics of the individual years 2007 and 2008. It might be interesting to compare these stats with those a year from now to see how things have changed. Its also important to note that a number of new blogs have emerged, and their growing importance is not necessarily well reflected in these stats. I would expect subsequent years to reflect these trends though.
Mean (per month): 1479.25
Mean (per day): 48.6
Highest Monthly Visit: December – 3385
Mean (per month): 11,437.25
Mean (per day): 376
Highest Monthly Visit: July -29,637
Top Ten Referrers:
Royal Gazette: 1%
21 Square: 1%
New Onion: 0.5%
Top Ten Clicks
Bda Sucks: 17%
Progressive Minds: 17%
21 Square: 9%
Devil Island: 6%
Sal’s Blog: 5%
These calculations are not perfect, but I do think they give a fairly representative picture of the stats in question. Unfortunately these stats don’t really track any changes over time, for example, what is the ‘growth-rate’ of some of the newer blogs, like FreshieBlog, VexedBermoothes and Bda Fables, what with some of the older blogs entering a period of dormancy (especially Politics.bm). The dormancy of some blogs have led to newer blogs taking over the niches that these blogs previously occupied. This makes me wonder if the Bermudian blogosphere has a certain level of carrying capacity? And how does this carrying capacity change over time (increase in internet usage, lurkers, etc.)? Is blogging activity increasing or decreasing over time? Is there an ‘ecological succession’ of blogs – how have blogs evolved over time? How does existing carrying capacity for Bermudian blogs compare to other countries?
My thoughts on these questions are that there is a carrying capacity for Bermudian blogs, and while this should change over time with increased internet use, at the moment I would say that our capacity is somewhere around the number ten, although this doesn’t account for the size/popularity of individual blogs (market share is not equally distributed). I get the impression that blogging activity will increase over time in tandem with greater internet usage. I also believe that there has been a certain degree of ecological succession. Initially the blogs were almost completely anti-PLP dominated, both in usage and orientation. Today there is a greater balance, although I feel it is still dominated by anti-PLP sentiment. All of this is of course mere qualitative speculation on my part, but I feel that these impressions will probably be shared by others.
There also seems to be a core group of active bloggers. I haven’t counted them all up exactly, but I reckon there are about twenty to thirty individuals who make up the bulk of participation on Bermudian blogs. There are numerous others, but their participation is generally sporadic. I get the impression that for every active participant there is probably about three lurkers. I’m not really sure how one would go about quantifying these though; my numbers are just guesstimates.
I’m not sure if there is such a thing as blog ecology or if there have been any actual investigations into the phenomena, but I find it interesting to speculate about. I found this post on ‘Blog Readers Research’ that may be of interest on this topic. I found this article as well, ‘How can we measure the influence of the blogopshere’ which may be of interest. My guess would be that those readers with a background in IT would have the best knowledge about this kind of stuff though.
I also found this site interesting for determing our ‘internet penetration’ – which it measures at 72.1%
(comparable with Canada at 84.3% and the US at 72.5%). If one were to include us in the Caribbean rankings we apparently come second after Antigua & Barbuda (85.9%); Barbados is at 63.8% and Cayman is at 46%. The growth of our internet penetretration is interesting also:
2001: No Data
2002: No Data
2004: No Data
2007: No Data
I think its pretty obvious that internet penetration would generally correlate with GDP, but it would also be interesting to compare it with income inequality (say using Gini Coefficient values), and can we draw any general theories of carrying capacity based on these (for example, is Bermuda’s Xamount of active blogs under or overcapacity relative to its internet penetration and population size…)? It would be interesting to check out a handful of other small island states, say Barbados, Antigua, Cayman and the Bahamas to get a rough idea of how many blogs these countries currently sustain, and see how Bermuda stacks up against them in relative terms.
Anyway, perhaps the readings on ecological dynamics and economics is just making me deranged, but I find all this kind of interesting. Any thoughts? Anyone up for some group investigation of these questions and comparing blogosphere with other small island states?