I have been unable to complete the reviews of both the UBP and PLP Platforms. I will continue this following the election, for, while it may no longer influence how anyone votes, whichever Party wins should base its governance on their platform, and whichever loses will use its platform as a base for Opposition.
I have been suprised at how this election, more than the other two I recall (1998 and 2003) have led to a crystalisation of positions; Bermuda’s politics has reached new levels of division on a political position than I can ever recall. I have found the UBPers to be more dogmatic and fanatical than the PLP, but there are plenty PLPers who have also become fanatical in their support of the Party. Unquestioning, uncritical support for either Party is not good for them or the country, and I hope that the current fanatacism will prove to be an election related phenomena.
I am going to predict that the PLP will win the election tomorrow. At best I see the result being PLP with 22 seats, the UBP with 14; the same as we currently have. However, there are a number of factors I have not been able to decide of their impact – Ms. Foggo’s comments last week at the East End Rally, which may alter the result to a PLP with 20 seats and the UBP with 16. I cannot see the end results differing much from these predictions. I am basing these on my reading of the past results, analysis of the constituencies, effectiveness of the campaigns, and readings/personal observations from canvassing.
I am aware that a number of PLP supporters are reluctant to vote for their particular candidates for various reasons, while retaining support for the Party as a whole, and I am sympathetic to their situations. I am expecting a dramatic increase in the number of spoiled ballots in this election, an indication of voters being disatisfied with either choice. I had expected turn-out to be lower than usual, but I no longer feel this will be the case.
Either way, the world does not end tomorrow, regardless of who wins, and I look forward to the various celebrations and hard work that lie ahead.